| # | Kickoff | League | Match | Odds 1 / X / 2 | Distribution % | Ticket distribution | Value flags | Confidence | Rec |
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| # | Match | Odds 1/X/2 | Fair odds 1/X/2 | Implied 1/X/2 | Fair 1/X/2 | Dist 1/X/2 | Value pp 1/X/2 | Max implied | Form 1/2 | Flags |
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Fair odds = Shin margin removal (bookmaker overround split per Shin's insider-trading model; proportional fallback if the solver fails). Value = model probability − public ticket %. Flags: value ≥ +5pp ▲, public trap = ≥55% public on one side with value ≤ −10pp ⚠. Spik = implied ≥ 60% and value ≥ 0; half guard = implied ≥ 50%; full guard below. Form (football-data last-5, when available) blends in at 20% weight; system cost = rows × row price.
| # | Match | Outcome | Score (FT) |
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